2024-12-14 00:38:24
It can be said that after yesterday's close, most investors are pessimistic about today's market. Because new investors will associate it with the sharp opening and closing on October 8th, while old investors will be scared by the trend of peripheral China assets last night, and then they will have pessimistic expectations for today's market. However, what everyone didn't expect was that the performance of the whole market was fairly stable today. The market stood firm on the fifth line all day and remained slightly red. Although it was smashed green twice in the session, it was pulled up in an instant, giving people a feeling that they can't fall if they want to fall!In addition, there is a group of people who were the main force of yesterday's pressure plate, that is, retail investors who suffered a big loss on October 8. This part of the investors have been convinced that yesterday's sharp opening will inevitably lead to a high opening and a low going, so they were selling at the opening yesterday. Some hesitant investors may have missed the high-selling opportunity opened yesterday, but they saw the unilateral decline of the market in intraday trading, which is replicating the trend of October 8. Worried that there will be a sharp drop in the next few days, I began to turn around and lighten my position.Let's take a look at today's market. The full-day amplitude of the market is only 20 points, and it can't break through 3440 up. If it turns green down, it will be quickly pulled red. This narrow fluctuation of extremely low space is either the whole market is extremely inactive or controlled by a pair of invisible hands. This is almost the same as the trend during the Third Plenary Session of the Twentieth Central Committee in mid-July this year!
Going back to today's stop-fall market, I am afraid that the stability of the national team is only one aspect. The main institutions that stood by yesterday, most of today's buying will be released obviously. The retail investors who ran away yesterday, after seeing the market stabilize, are not expected to continue to lighten up their positions today.This trend is very similar to that from July 11 to July 19 this year. The market has always maintained a broken upward trend. As long as it falls, there will be funds to support it!It can be seen that the power of shorting yesterday mainly comes from two aspects. In addition, the willingness of the main institutions to undertake is not strong, which eventually forms a situation in which the whole market is high and low.
The core here refers to the policy background, the market trend before and after, and the actions of the national team when three times of high opening and low going appeared. In particular, the support action of the national team will have a great impact on the short-term trend of the whole market. This is because funds can determine the short-term trend of the market to a greater extent, while fundamentals can determine the medium-and long-term trend of the market to a greater extent.Then why is this trend happening? Many investors may think that yesterday's A shares opened higher and went lower under the favorable stimulus of the Politburo meeting, which is very similar to last year's 828 market and the trend on October 8 this year. But in your brother's view, these three false yin lines are just similar in shape, but the cores are not the same.In addition, there is a group of people who were the main force of yesterday's pressure plate, that is, retail investors who suffered a big loss on October 8. This part of the investors have been convinced that yesterday's sharp opening will inevitably lead to a high opening and a low going, so they were selling at the opening yesterday. Some hesitant investors may have missed the high-selling opportunity opened yesterday, but they saw the unilateral decline of the market in intraday trading, which is replicating the trend of October 8. Worried that there will be a sharp drop in the next few days, I began to turn around and lighten my position.